Ukraine Blog 54 – MIC of the LIC's
Dear friends, family and colleagues, Over a month has past since the last update and we can tell with certainty that Ukraine is able to hold the line for the most part. It’s clear that the Russian army has lost all its offensive capabilities. There are two topics on everybody’s lips: Bakhmut and an Ukrainian counteroffensive. Let’s dive into it: My prediction of more than a month ago that the Russian offensive already started without anybody noticing turned out to be true. It was eventually confirmed by the real experts on this topic like Michael Kofman: (4) Michael Kofman on Twitter: "A few thoughts on the Russian winter offensive, which began 3+ weeks ago, and has so far yielded little progress for RU forces. Poor force quality, loss of junior officers, ammunition, and equipment constraints limit Russian offensive potential. Thread. 1/" / Twitter So why did the Russians went on the attack without adequate forces? This has all to do with Russia replacing the one cap...