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Showing posts from June, 2022

Ukraine Blog 35 - The Potato Factor

Dear friends, family and colleagues, The HIMARS have a arrived and the Ukrainians did not wait a second more to put them into action. The Russian Telegram channels I follow are absolutely going berserk with reports of a large amount of high precision tactical strikes all across the Donbass region that Russia occupied since 2014. The amount of updates was so big that I had to mute them on my phone. The HIMARS truly is a superweapon. The Russians don’t have anything that even comes close to it in terms of capabilities. The Ukrainians are hitting exactly hitting the targets that I expected them to strike. Ammunition depots, vehicle motor pools and Command & Control sites (C2). Around Izium, the HIMARS rockets took out an entire regional C2 unit. Around Izium Russian troops have been stuck for weeks. This won’t help them. (5) 🇺🇦 Ukraine Weapons Tracker on Twitter: "#Ukraine: A Ukrainian precision strike (likely to be HIMARS) hit an Russian 20th CAA base at a former school ...

Ukraine Blog 34 – CEASAR’s or KRAB Salad?

Dear friends, family and colleagues, Like with the “siege” of Kyiv at the start of the war, the Dutch (Western) media is in full blown melancholy mode. Like Kyiv was never a siege, the headlines scream that Ukraine is losing in the East. Oekraïne slaagt niet in herovering oostelijke gebieden en kampt met deserteurs | NU - Het laatste nieuws het eerst op NU.nl While Ukrainian losses are extremely high, this is very far from the truth and it’s the Russians that are definitely losing. Let me explain why and prepare yourself for the most positive blogs in weeks. Without a doubt, the Ukrainian defense of the Joint Group of Forces has been under incredible pressure over the past 1,5 month. Russian artillery has been absolutely devastating. However, we (I) are definitely starting to see the impact of Western heavy artillery in the South and the Donbass. What the Western media doesn’t notice, is that over the past three days, Ukraine has struck a couple of very high value strategic tar...

Ukraine Blog 33 - Will Russian Stupidity Really Save Us?

Dear friends, family and colleagues, The brutal war of attrition in the east of Ukraine is grinding on. This is truly brutal warfare the world hasn’t seen since World War II. Many bloggers are now openly discussing the possibility of Russia winning this war. Although I do agree that Ukraine is suffering a lot of battlefield losses, I think chances of Russia winning this war actually become stronger by the day. But whereas in the first weeks of the war, it was Ukrainian tactics and fighting spirit that helped the Ukrainians, I think right now, the Ukrainians are helped significantly more by Russian incompetence and stupidity. Let me explain why. Two times in my blogs I wrote about crucial Russian victories where in case Russia would win the battle, their chances of winning would increase significantly. Izium Ukraine Blog 18 - The Battle for Helm's Deep (spectraltransition.blogspot.com) And Popasna Ukraine Blog 30 - Popasna Popped and the Melitopol Mess (spectraltransitio...

Ukraine Special 04 - Let’s talk ammo stockpiles

Dear friends, family and colleagues, I know it has been a while since my last update. I needed to let some steam off. I enjoyed weekends with you my precious friends, family and colleagues and I enjoyed myself in Bucharest. In the meantime, the war in Ukraine went on and it evolved in a brutal vicious war of attrition that the world has never seen before. The brutality of the war is insane and it evolved into a battle of long range artillery with unprecedented long range volleys of very heavy artillery. It’s really a question now of which side has the longest breath. Russia has an abundance of artillery. Ukraine still has no shortage of manpower and the Western high precision ammunition comes into play. The time has come to present you with unique insight into the stockpiles of ammunition of both Russia and Ukraine. I scouted the twitter channels and I’m confident to present you with a unique insight in how the cards are shuffled right now when it comes to ammunition stockpiles and...