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Ukraine Blog 65 – Amateurs talk Strategy, Professionals talk Logistics

Dear friends, family and colleagues,  I know it has been ages since I wrote something about the necessary works of our Ukrainian defenders. I have been busy exploring new spots in the world and focusing on personal activities like walking the Nijmeegse 4Daagse. However, I understand that after last week’s mind blowing offensive and decisive breakthrough by Ukraine in Kursk oblast, I can’t remain silent. To be honest, I had an incredibly hard time trying to determine what Ukraine’s objective is here. In the press and the blog community usually the following three objectives are discussed. Ukraine will conquer Russian land to later use as a bargain to get its land back. While every square kilometer of Russian land occupied will help Ukraine in possible future negotiations, you have to realize that Russia currently occupies 107.000 square kilometers of Ukraine. Ukraine has now occupied a little over a 1000 square kilometers. It means that Ukraine has t...
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Ukraine Blog 64 – Barbarians

Dear friends, family and colleagues,  It has been a while. In part because I was occupied with other stuff, in part because of a lack of data and in part because it was not really clear on where to put the focus. A lot of stuff is happening in the world. I was first thinking about an update on Sudan, which is quickly but silently emerging as the main front against Russia in Africa. However, a lot is happening in Ukraine that we return to this country where we happen to learn so much about in the past three years. A lot of high profile events have happened, but they become footnotes in the main story that all started with the replacement of Ukraine’s iron general Valerii Zaluzhnyi with Oleksandr Syrskyi. The whole milblog community, including myself, were quite alarmed by this. Personally I really liked Zaluzhnyi’s pragmatic approach and willingness to try new approaches on the battlefield. He was the first Ukrainian commander in chief without a Soviet Red Army background. Syr...
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Ukraine Blog 63 - Guerrilla Patriot and Vuvuzela Shock

  Dear friends, family and colleagues,  “Niels, it seems quiet in Ukraine. You don’t hear anything from it anymore and it’s all about Palestine and immigration now” is a quote I receive a lot these days. Well, this is Russia’s information campaign at work and congratulations: you fell for it. By my observations, the opposite is true. We are currently in a phase of the heaviest fighting since the war started and on levels not seen since World War II. Sad truth is that we won’t see any Ukrainian offensive this year. Ukrainian artillery stocks are depleted to such a level that Ukraine needs to completely switch tactics. A lot of blame is being put on the MAGA republicans for “blocking” aid to Ukraine. However, it’s fair to say that they are only partly responsible for this. The Democrats are just as guilty as the MAGA republicans. The simple truth is, that there’s still a budget of more than 4 billion USD available for military support free to spend by the Biden government...
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